National quantification of anti-malaria commodities

Abstract

The Ethiopian Pharmaceutical Supply Agency (EPSA) and Federal Ministry of Health with comprehensive support of USAID Global Health Supply Chain –Procurement and Supply Management and other stakeholders conducted national antimalaria commodities quantification. The objective of the quantification is to prepare two years (July 2019- June 2021) forecast and one year supply plan for antimalaria commodities used for diagnosis and treatment of malaria. The result of the quantification will be used in planning, mobilizing, and securing financial resources for the forecasting period and in establishing estimated requirements for procurement. The quantification described in this report includes consumption, and morbidity/services-based forecast. The results from each of these forecasts were compared and the team agreed to take mix of the mentioned methods.After calculating the forecast, a supply plan was developed based on quantities on order, stocks on hand, program minimum and maximum stock levels, lead time, buffer stocks and seasonality indexes. The final result of the quantification exercise was a two year forecast requirement (July 2019-June 2021) and one year supply plan (July 2019-June 2020), including specific quantities of each product that are required, with a proposed arrival date. The results of the forecast are shown in detail in different sections of this document. Summary of the forecast costs of the different sub categories of products are shown in table1 below